Model Predictions
| Model | Lipscomb Bisons | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | +7.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +15 (92-77). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Lipscomb Bisons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Williams * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -8.4 |
| Mateo Esmeraldo * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +5.7 |
| Ross Candelino * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | -7.9 |
| Ethan Duncan * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Grant Asman * | 17 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Titas Sargiunas | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -16.7 |
| Or Ashkenazi | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7.3 |
| Kennedy Okpara | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +6.2 |
| Cole Middleton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -17.3 |
| Kellan Boylan | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.5 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Shoulders * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | +6.7 |
| Quinton Perkins II * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +8.9 |
| Zaire Williams * | 32 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | +14.5 |
| Armani Mighty * | 32 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +20.5 |
| Baraka Okojie * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Tristan Gross | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Bendji Pierre | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
* = starter