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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.0% 78.0% -
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.9 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Log Adjusted 12.8% 87.2% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +28 (88-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Overton 36 8-18 4-11 2-4 5 2 1 0 1 22 11 -22.1
K. Hall 35 5-11 2-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 14 5 -23.1
K. Murphy 26 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 2 1 1 1 6 9 -9.0
T. Pettiford 25 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 1 -17.3
E. Freeman 22 1-6 0-2 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 6 5 -7.4
F. Jović 21 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
S. Williams-Adams 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 -11.2
K. Magwood 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 -4.6

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 35 2-5 1-3 6-6 5 14 3 1 3 11 26 -
F. Loyer 29 2-10 0-7 4-4 3 1 1 1 1 8 3 +19.2
T. Kaufman-Renn 29 9-13 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 18 13 +22.1
C.J. Cox 24 5-8 4-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 14 8 +16.6
O. Cluff 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 6 7 +8.6
D. Jacobsen 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 4 7 +14.8
G. Harris 16 4-7 4-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 12 9 +7.8
O. Mayer 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 4 5 +4.0
J. Benter 11 4-4 3-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 8 +0.6
L. Murphy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter