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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Chattanooga Mocs Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 10.0% 90.0% -
Bradley-Terry 10.2% 89.8% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% -
Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 7.2% 92.8% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +14 (92-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith 36 6-13 2-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 14 7 +0.4
J. Frison 33 6-12 0-2 8-10 4 6 1 0 3 20 16 +0.4
B. Watkins 32 1-8 1-4 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 7 3 +0.3
T. Washington Jr. 32 6-11 1-2 3-3 2 1 5 0 1 16 12 -
M. Richards 20 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 -3.0
J. Bowman 16 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 9 +3.4
T. Darner 15 3-6 3-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 9 8 +2.3
H. Holland 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Johnson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.9

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hall 36 5-9 1-5 11-14 11 6 0 1 2 22 29 +4.2
S. Williams-Adams 33 2-6 0-2 4-6 4 5 0 0 2 8 9 -0.3
E. Freeman 33 7-13 2-6 3-3 7 0 1 0 2 19 12 -2.6
T. Pettiford 30 5-11 5-9 5-6 1 2 0 0 3 20 9 -2.4
K. Murphy 22 3-6 0-2 3-4 9 0 0 2 2 9 12 +2.2
F. Jović 16 0-1 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 3 6 -
K. Magwood 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 6 +1.9
K. Overton 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2.2
S. Walker 6 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
B. Muschalek 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter