Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.3 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +14 (92-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith | 36 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +0.4 |
| J. Frison | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +0.4 |
| B. Watkins | 32 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| T. Washington Jr. | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Richards | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.0 |
| J. Bowman | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +3.4 |
| T. Darner | 15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +2.3 |
| H. Holland | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hall | 36 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 11-14 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 29 | +4.2 |
| S. Williams-Adams | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -0.3 |
| E. Freeman | 33 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | -2.6 |
| T. Pettiford | 30 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | -2.4 |
| K. Murphy | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +2.2 |
| F. Jović | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Magwood | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.9 |
| K. Overton | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| S. Walker | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Muschalek | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter