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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% -
Bradley-Terry 6.4% 93.6% -
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.9% 96.1% -
Log Adjusted 3.8% 96.2% -
Points Off/Def 19.2% 80.8% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +29 (97-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hall 36 3-11 1-4 6-6 4 0 1 1 3 13 5 -29.2
T. Pettiford 35 10-19 5-9 5-5 3 1 1 1 2 30 15 -23.4
K. Murphy 28 4-8 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 8 7 -24.8
K. Overton 27 1-8 0-4 6-6 2 2 2 0 2 8 4 -29.4
S. Williams-Adams 24 1-6 0-2 1-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -12.3
E. Freeman 21 1-7 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 2 3 -1 -10.2
F. Jović 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 1 7 -
K. Magwood 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 -6.2

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Peat 34 8-11 0-0 2-2 4 5 2 1 0 18 19 +34.7
J. Bradley 31 6-11 2-3 2-3 4 4 0 0 3 16 10 +28.0
I. Kharchenkov 29 5-9 2-3 0-0 5 8 3 1 3 12 17 +35.0
B. Burries 28 7-11 0-3 2-3 5 1 0 0 1 16 10 +28.7
M. Krivas 23 4-6 0-0 0-1 9 1 1 1 2 8 12 +33.8
A. Dell'Orso 20 5-8 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 11 6 +6.0
T. Awaka 17 3-5 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 6 6 -5.1
D. Aristode 13 2-4 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -2.8
E. Nelson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
S. Gueye 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.0
A. Arnold 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
S. Djopmo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter