Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pulliam * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | -3.3 |
| T. Vahlberg Fasasi * | 27 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +3.2 |
| K. Brockhoff * | 21 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | -0.5 |
| C. Lowe * | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -1.0 |
| C. Haskins * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -0.3 |
| R. Miller | 27 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -10.0 |
| J. Emanuel | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -2.2 |
| J. Jones | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Jackson Jr. | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thomas * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +1.9 |
| S. Towns * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +0.2 |
| J. Campbell * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4.0 |
| J. Shackelford * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +7.4 |
| T. Glover II * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +0.6 |
| J. Ruffin | 28 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1.3 |
| M. Wol | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +4.7 |
| J. Kimbrough Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.8 |
| C. Karel | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
* = starter