Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +28.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +28 (84-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | -4.8 |
| Xavier Istomin-Monroe * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5.0 |
| Legend Geeter * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Ayden Carter * | 19 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -4.7 |
| TJ Nadeau * | 16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -4.4 |
| London Maiden | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Nate Johnson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -11.0 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Lance Stone | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -4.0 |
| Keshawn Fisher | 12 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | -5.1 |
| Tyler Spratt | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
| Jared Lary | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Je'kel Cotton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coen Carr * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +15.5 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 28 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +18.2 |
| Jaxon Kohler * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +19.1 |
| Carson Cooper * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +12.0 |
| Trey Fort * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Kur Teng | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +10.2 |
| Cameron Ward | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -6.6 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -5.4 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Jordan Scott | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Denham Wojcik | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Nick Sanders | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.8 |
| Colin Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Brennan Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter