Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -3 (81-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Begg * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Kashie Natt * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 12-14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | +4.1 |
| Po'Boigh King * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Veljko Ilic * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +6.3 |
| Jacobe Coleman | 13 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Jacob Walker | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Isaiah Manning | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Jaxson Ford | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Matt Dann | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| CJ Beaumont | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Jamison Guerra * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | +3.8 |
| Connor Hollenbeck * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +9.1 |
| Cheikh Sow * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Evan Otten * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +15.4 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 25 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | -13.5 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 22 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -7.7 |
| Quin Patterson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
| Louis Bond | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Blake Daberkow | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Gus Etchison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
* = starter