Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots +22 (79-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Jones * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Evan Sterck * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -3.3 |
| Hayden Wood * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.7 |
| Donovan Rivers * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Chris Arias | 27 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Chris Lockett | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Enrico Borio | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Allen Udemadu | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jaylen Jordon | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Simon Wheeler | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Michael Harper | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Charles Caporaso | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy * | 35 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Jahari Long * | 32 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Malik Presley * | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Dola Adebayo * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +7.7 |
| Riley Allenspach * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Masai Troutman | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | -0.7 |
| Nick Ellington | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Emmanuel Kanga | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | -0.3 |
| Devin Booker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Stas Sivka | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.2 |
| T.J. Prosise | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Ben Woodward | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
* = starter