Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Palek III | 35 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | -13.8 |
| K. Williams | 35 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | -10.7 |
| Z. King | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10.9 |
| T. Williams Jr. | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -13.4 |
| D. Sutton | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -2.1 |
| M. Cunningham | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.3 |
| L. Epes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -12.3 |
| C. Boone | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -15.0 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Borovicanin | 36 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 24 | +22.7 |
| T. Carroll | 33 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +7.7 |
| M. Moore | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +21.4 |
| J. Milicevic | 27 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +5.0 |
| A. Wright | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -5.4 |
| I. Walker | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +5.1 |
| R. Anderson III | 17 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P. N'Diaye | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +10.4 |
| M. Panoam | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| I. Sabourin | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.0 |
* = starter