Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams * | 37 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Zaxton King * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Keith Palek III * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu * | 32 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | +6.6 |
| Trey Williams Jr * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +5.5 |
| Logan Epes | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Cameron Boone | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Darrion Sutton | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Tyrique Brooks | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Ryder Cheesman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raysean Seamster * | 35 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 12 | -4.6 |
| Marcell McCreary * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | -3.5 |
| Casmir Chavis * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Cameron Jackson * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -7.4 |
| Bahsil Laster * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -7.4 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Amari Reed | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Tyran Mason | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Jordan Lowery | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Miles Goodman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Jayden Smoot | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
* = starter