Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Burton | 40 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 6-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Zion Cruz | 36 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Caleb Smith | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Davis Bynum | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Antwan Wilson | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -8.8 |
| Shemani Fuller | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Cole McCabe | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Mohamad Diallo | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Jamir McNeil | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| AB Coulibaly | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Daniel Helterhoff | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -0.5 |
| K. Kepežinskas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks | 36 | 7-19 | 5-14 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | +1.3 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Deuce Turner | 22 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Tony Williams | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Eric Mejia | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Michael Rogan | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Ryan Zan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Nasir Rodriguez | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.4 |
* = starter