🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - ✓
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% - ✗
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.3% 61.7% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans +6 (89-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gavin Sykes * 41 11-23 4-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 26 6 -5.8
Petar Majstorovic * 40 8-16 1-7 4-4 8 1 4 0 6 21 12 +4.8
Isaiah Lewis * 32 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 4 3 +5.3
Cole Farrell * 22 4-8 2-4 1-2 4 4 0 0 1 11 10 -21.2
Demarshay Johnson Jr. * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -18.5
Rob Diaz 26 4-7 0-2 1-2 6 2 3 1 1 9 13 +7.1
D. Xzavierro 23 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 1 6 9 +12.0
Shaquil Bender 10 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 +1.8
JJ Chaikovsky 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.5
Christian Jones 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 +2.1
Leopold Levillain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colby Garland * 41 8-17 0-3 11-12 5 4 2 0 2 27 19 +4.8
Melvin Bell Jr. * 39 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 1 5 4 +2.1
Jermaine Washington * 39 5-8 4-6 0-0 0 6 2 0 3 14 11 +5.2
Yaphet Moundi * 35 5-8 0-0 8-10 3 1 2 0 1 18 15 +11.4
Sadraque NgaNga * 24 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 10 5 -1.3
Adrian Myers 18 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 4 -10.0
Douglas Langford 17 2-3 0-0 0-3 4 1 1 3 0 4 10 +7.5
Pasha Goodarzi 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -9.3

* = starter