Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +32 (77-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lewis * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| P. Majstorovic * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | -2.7 |
| C. Farrell * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -1.0 |
| C. Jones * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson Jr. * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Diaz III | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -4.7 |
| S. Bender | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | -8.0 |
| D. Washington | 15 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -6.3 |
| L. Levillain | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -0.2 |
| D. Xzavierro | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -7.4 |
| G. Sykes | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Byrd * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +6.5 |
| S. Newman Jr. * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0.9 |
| J. Oden * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +8.9 |
| M. Heide * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +6.0 |
| T. DeGourville * | 19 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | +10.1 |
| E. Harrington | 25 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +7.9 |
| BJ Davis | 21 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2.3 |
| T. Simmons | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +0.2 |
| P. Compton | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +3.1 |
| C. Lawin | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Majak | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter