Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Fofana | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Josiah Davis | 36 | 15-23 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 30 | -16.1 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 36 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -19.0 |
| Larry Hughes II | 35 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | -12.9 |
| Jordan Brinson | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -15.6 |
| James Evans Jr. | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -15.7 |
| Davius Loury | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Jai Chisolm | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.2 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqui Worthy | 40 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 11-13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 31 | +19.2 |
| De'Undrae Perteete | 37 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +11.4 |
| Andrew Henderson | 33 | 6-20 | 3-13 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +17.5 |
| Osiris Grady | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | +17.9 |
| BJ Kolly | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +16.5 |
| Ben Waller | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Dylan Godfrey | 9 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Tyler Jones | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +10.7 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter