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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 71.6% 28.4% -
Bradley-Terry 71.4% 28.6% -
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% -
Efficiency 87.7% 12.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% -
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% -

Actual: Long Beach State Beach -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. O'Garro 36 6-14 0-2 1-4 7 3 2 0 0 13 11 -
J. Davis 35 8-15 0-0 5-7 3 9 1 0 5 21 14 -
M. Fofana 29 5-11 0-0 0-1 9 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
L. Hughes Jr. 27 1-10 1-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
J. Evans Jr. 25 4-6 0-1 0-1 3 1 2 0 2 8 6 -
J. Brinson 25 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
G. Lewis 11 5-6 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 12 9 -
J. Chisolm 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
D. Loury 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Sykes 34 3-14 1-5 6-8 2 3 0 1 3 13 2 -
S. Bender 26 10-18 7-10 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 27 13 -
D. Washington 24 0-0 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 0 1 3 7 -
R. Diaz III 20 3-8 0-2 5-6 4 1 1 0 0 11 9 -
L. Levillain 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 4 8 -
D. Johnson Jr. 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
I. Lewis 16 3-4 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
P. Majstorovic 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 2 8 -
C. Jones 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 2 0 5 5 -
C. Farrell 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Xzavierro 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 -

* = starter