Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | -8.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.4% | 43.6% | -1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -2 (76-78). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -11.4 |
| Josiah Davis * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 14 | -23.0 |
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Larry Hughes II * | 27 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -13.6 |
| James Evans Jr. * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Jordan Brinson | 25 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -16.3 |
| Grady Lewis | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -5.3 |
| Jai Chisolm | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Davius Loury | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sykes * | 34 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | +14.1 |
| Shaquil Bender * | 26 | 10-18 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Petar Majstorovic * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Cole Farrell * | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Dallas Washington | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Rob Diaz III | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +10.6 |
| Leopold Levillain | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Christian Jones | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.6 |
| D. Xzavierro | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1.3 |
* = starter