Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqui Worthy | 38 | 12-25 | 5-13 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 18 | - |
| De'Undrae Perteete | 35 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Henderson | 33 | 5-16 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ben Waller | 22 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Osiris Grady | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| BJ Kolly | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Jones | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| EJ Spillman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Godfrey | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Fofana | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Larry Hughes II | 33 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Joshua O'Garro | 29 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Josiah Davis | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Brinson | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| James Evans Jr. | 24 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Davius Loury | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jai Chisolm | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Grady Lewis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter