Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 35 | 1-13 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | -5.8 |
| CJ Shaw | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 8 | -11.8 |
| Zion Sensley | 30 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -10.0 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 25 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -3.7 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Colin Smith | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +8.3 |
| Zachiah Clark | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | -7.8 |
| Evans Kipruto | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Michael Simcoe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis | 36 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +17.2 |
| Larry Hughes II | 35 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | +13.7 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 35 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -2.0 |
| Jordan Brinson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Davius Loury | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.0 |
| James Evans Jr. | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Jai Chisolm | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
* = starter