Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | -0.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +2 (89-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder * | 40 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Zaon Collins * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Cameron Faas * | 32 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +9.2 |
| Wilson Jacques * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | +4.8 |
| DeShawn Gory * | 29 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +12.8 |
| DJ Stickman | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -19.8 |
| Jac Mani | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Bastien Rieber | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.2 |
| Makhan Diouf | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes II * | 37 | 10-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | -1.6 |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 37 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 20 | +2.7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Davius Loury * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Josiah Davis * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | +5.4 |
| Jordan Brinson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6.4 |
| James Evans Jr. | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +8.4 |
| Grady Lewis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter