Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +9 (94-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Seng * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -8.5 |
| Thomas Dowd * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | -5.0 |
| Victor Valdes * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +2.6 |
| Coo. Campbell * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Cobi Campbell * | 28 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Austin Cross | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -13.2 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Javen Colbert | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.0 |
| Corbin Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Emmanuel Clarton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 11 | +10.6 |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 34 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 23 | +11.6 |
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +11.6 |
| Larry Hughes II * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Davius Loury * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Jordan Brinson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +8.1 |
| James Evans Jr. | 19 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Jai Chisolm | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Grady Lewis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter