Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | North Dakota State Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota State Bison +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes II * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | -17.3 |
| Josiah Davis * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -1 | -13.0 |
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -19.9 |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -13.3 |
| Grady Lewis * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -12.3 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3.3 |
| Davius Loury | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Jordan Brinson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.1 |
| James Evans Jr. | 8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -6.9 |
| Jai Chisolm | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Greg Gazarian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.9 |
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz * | 35 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +15.3 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +16.7 |
| Trevian Carson * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | +20.2 |
| Noah Feddersen * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 22 | +20.7 |
| Markhi Strickland * | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Carson Smith | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tay Smith | 12 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Treyson Anderson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Max Majerle | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Riley Massey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
| Emil Skytta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Riley Saunders | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Caleb Schoenrock | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter