Model Predictions
| Model | Bellarmine Knights | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | +24.8 | β (10.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.5 | β (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | β |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +14 (99-85). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Goodin * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +6.9 |
| Brian Waddell * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Jack Karasinski * | 30 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | +9.3 |
| Darrius Bolden * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +9.8 |
| Sam Donald * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Tyler Doyle | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Donovan Hunter | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Grant Whitaker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Myles Watkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Tommy Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Grant Neal | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Jacob Wassler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 19 | +0.3 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate * | 32 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 19 | -5.0 |
| Denzel Aberdeen * | 25 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -9.2 |
| Collin Chandler * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Malachi Moreno * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Kam Williams | 22 | 8-10 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | -0.7 |
| Jasper Johnson | 22 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -5.2 |
| Trent Noah | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Jayden Quaintance | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Brandon Garrison | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| A. JelaviΔ | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.9 |
* = starter