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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Wofford Terriers Bellarmine Knights Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.7% 40.3% - โœ“
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 โœ— (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—

Actual: Bellarmine Knights -8 (86-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wofford Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cayden Vasko * 37 4-8 3-6 0-0 4 9 0 1 2 11 15 -0.2
Nils Machowski * 35 5-11 4-8 14-16 1 4 0 2 2 28 22 -1.0
Kahmare Holmes * 34 8-12 5-6 3-6 6 4 2 1 5 24 20 +1.7
Luke Flynn * 33 4-8 3-6 5-6 6 4 2 0 1 16 19 +18.6
Brian Sumpter * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 1 2 7 -1.6
Rex Stirling 19 5-6 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 10 6 +13.1
Chace Watley 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 +6.2
Brendan Rigsbee 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1.1
Maximo Ortega 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -9.9

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Waddell * 36 9-13 1-1 4-4 6 2 1 0 2 23 17 -10.1
Kenyon Goodin * 31 3-9 2-6 1-1 3 4 2 0 0 9 9 +7.0
Sam Donald * 29 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 2 6 +8.1
Tyler Doyle * 28 8-12 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 17 10 +6.0
Jack Karasinski * 28 6-14 1-5 10-13 4 0 0 0 1 23 12 -11.4
Michael Wilson Jr. 15 1-4 0-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -14.4
Myles Watkins 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 6 5 -9.9
Donovan Hunter 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 +4.1
Darrius Bolden 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -7.0
Grant Whitaker 3 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -8.7

* = starter