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2025-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 10.2% 89.8% +12.0 (30.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -18 (48-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Casey 37 5-9 3-6 4-6 5 3 1 0 2 17 15 +24.4
A. Snead 36 5-10 1-2 5-7 5 3 2 0 4 16 12 +18.8
J. Jekot 34 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 6 13 +18.4
R. Stokes 31 3-6 0-1 8-9 3 1 3 0 8 14 7 +15.2
F. Stinson 28 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 6 5 +13.2
E. Knouse 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 +6.4
C. Kay 12 3-6 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 3 +3.6
A. Mansour 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 +2.9
K. Griffin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.1

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Rafiu 30 5-9 0-1 4-4 2 3 1 0 5 14 6 -1.8
P. Page 30 5-8 0-1 2-3 2 1 2 0 3 12 6 -14.9
M. Broom 27 0-12 0-6 6-7 2 0 0 0 2 6 -6 -18.5
F. Henderson 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 4 0 7 2 2 -12.0
R. Weiss 26 3-9 0-3 4-4 5 3 1 2 2 10 10 -7.4
M. Avlijas 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 4 +3.2
N. Simmons 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 2 4 -2.6
H. Feldrappe 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1.0
S. Shippen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.7
E. Erinugha 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.1
M. Arrebola 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.7
M. Jaama 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.3
B. Tor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -0.8

* = starter