Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Wucherpfennig * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Braden Sparks * | 36 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Benjamin * | 35 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Eric Mejia * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Deuce Turner * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tony Williams | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Halon Rawlins | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Cam Estevez | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Zan | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nasir Rodriguez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaac Munkadi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dorset * | 40 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| T. Brogna * | 36 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Kennedy * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Andres Marrero * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Shelton * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| KC Ugwuakazi | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - |
| A. Cisse | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Stinson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Veillette | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter