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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -13 (77-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Williams 35 9-17 5-13 0-0 6 5 3 0 4 23 16 -
B. Nunn 29 3-12 3-10 2-2 5 1 4 0 1 11 8 -
K. De Luna 27 2-3 0-0 2-5 4 0 0 3 1 6 9 -
K. Garris 26 6-9 4-7 4-4 4 4 3 0 1 20 21 -
J. Henderson 21 4-10 2-8 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. De La Cruz Monegro 20 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
B. Cofield 17 1-5 0-2 4-8 2 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
L. Seaman 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
J. Ward 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 4 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hughes Jr. 38 6-13 2-7 7-8 4 1 3 0 4 21 12 -
J. Davis 35 4-9 1-2 12-14 7 13 1 1 8 21 26 -
J. O'Garro 32 4-14 1-7 2-2 8 1 0 0 4 11 2 -
M. Fofana 32 3-4 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 1 8 13 -
J. Brinson 23 2-5 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 6 9 -
D. Loury 15 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
J. Chisolm 10 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
G. Lewis 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Evans Jr. 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter