Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Garro | 39 | 11-17 | 4-7 | 2-6 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 28 | +4.3 |
| J. Davis | 37 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5 | +12.5 |
| L. Hughes Jr. | 33 | 4-19 | 3-12 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -2 | +0.3 |
| M. Fofana | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | +2.4 |
| J. Evans Jr. | 25 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +0.5 |
| D. Loury | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
| J. Brinson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.3 |
| A. Szymczyk | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.9 |
| G. Lewis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Chisolm | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 33 | 8-17 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 20 | -9.7 |
| J. Ward | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -0.5 |
| B. Cofield | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 20 | -2.5 |
| L. Seaman | 26 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | -0.5 |
| B. Nunn | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -0.5 |
| J. Henderson | 14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +5.3 |
| K. De Luna | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3.8 |
| K. Garris | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.6 |
* = starter