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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans Denver Pioneers Spread Result
Elo 63.3% 36.7% -
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Denver Pioneers -19 (86-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Williams 36 6-11 4-7 2-3 6 4 4 1 2 18 20 -
J. De La Cruz Monegro 30 5-8 3-5 4-4 5 2 0 1 0 17 17 +3.7
J. Henderson 29 4-9 3-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 11 6 -4.1
B. Cofield 25 6-13 0-1 7-10 4 5 0 0 4 19 11 +3.6
J. Ward 22 6-8 4-5 4-4 6 6 3 0 2 20 25 +7.8
K. De Luna 20 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 2 1 4 7 +7.9
L. Seaman 19 5-9 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 10 5 +3.8
D. White 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 5 -4.1
B. Winker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Quinlan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Johnson 32 3-9 2-4 0-1 4 4 0 0 1 8 6 -3.9
J. Burke 32 7-15 5-11 4-6 6 2 0 1 2 23 15 -4.1
J. Rollins 31 5-13 0-5 3-3 4 3 0 1 1 13 7 +3.9
G. Oldham 20 3-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 6 6 -7.9
Z. Nelson 20 5-9 3-4 4-4 3 2 1 1 1 17 14 +4.2
S. Wysocki 19 5-6 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 11 6 -4.0
J. Lee 19 1-7 0-3 2-4 4 1 1 0 1 4 2 -3.9
L. Kinsey 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -4.1
C. Dandridge 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Maleng 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter