Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +4 (97-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ward * | 38 | 11-17 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | -3.8 |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | -3.7 |
| B. Cofield * | 32 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | -6.8 |
| C. Williams * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. De Luna * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.2 |
| L. Seaman | 27 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -3.7 |
| J. Henderson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.6 |
| D. White | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.9 |
| K. Garris | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.0 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Bloch * | 35 | 9-14 | 7-12 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Q. Denker * | 29 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -7.3 |
| B. Wisne * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -1.5 |
| I. Yamazaki * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +3.2 |
| R. Nyeri * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.2 |
| V. Delano | 29 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 7-10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +4.4 |
| E. Shields | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +10.7 |
| A. Mawien | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.9 |
| T. Braketa | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter