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2025-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.3 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.4% 98.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.0% 83.0% - โœ“

Actual: Richmond Spiders +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zanai Barnett-Gay 39 4-13 0-3 3-4 5 2 4 0 4 11 5 -5.2
Zoe Mesuch 36 5-20 2-11 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 12 -8 -1.3
Julianna Almeida 34 2-10 0-2 6-6 2 5 0 0 1 10 6 -7.3
Saran Moschella 25 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 5 +3.0
Kate Samson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -4.8
Morgan Demos 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -2.7
Quinn Boettinger 13 4-7 0-1 6-7 8 2 0 0 0 14 17 +2.5
Mary Gibbons 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +5.6
Maren Louridas 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.3
Christina Liggio 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.6

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maggie Doogan 38 6-19 2-7 3-5 14 4 1 3 4 17 16 +12.3
Ally Sweeney 36 6-12 2-4 2-4 6 8 0 0 3 16 15 +8.2
Rachel Ullstrom 33 4-13 2-9 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 10 1 +8.5
Alicia Newell 26 3-5 1-2 2-3 3 0 2 0 1 9 8 -5.7
Sam Dewey 23 3-5 2-3 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 +6.2
Ava Persichetti 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 5 +3.8
Tierra Simon 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 +1.6
Payton Richard 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +0.2
Rayne Wright 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0
Shaneka Campbell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2.3
Skylah Travis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1

* = starter