Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliya McIver | 40 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +16.1 |
| K. Ekofo | 38 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Emmy Roach | 38 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +11.9 |
| Deb Okechukwu | 32 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Aina Perez Mesquida | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +8.0 |
| Daniya Brown | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +18.6 |
| Amany Lopez | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Sam Richardson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zanai Barnett-Gay | 34 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | -16.8 |
| Zoe Mesuch | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Julianna Almeida | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Morgan Demos | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -11.8 |
| Christina Liggio | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -18.3 |
| Kate Samson | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Mary Gibbons | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -18.7 |
| Maren Louridas | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| Quinn Boettinger | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9.2 |
| Saran Moschella | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Nia Henley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Lizzie Holder | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Kelli Giuliani | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.3 |
| Sidney Quinn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
* = starter