Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Dawkins * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | -8.6 |
| Rich Rolf * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -13.2 |
| Jason Nelson * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | -13.6 |
| Cris Carroll * | 19 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6.8 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol * | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 24 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -16.5 |
| D. King | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cam Polak | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jaiden Haynes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| T. Blackshear | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Shaheed Solebo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Craig * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | +18.6 |
| Sonny Wilson * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +12.0 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | +13.6 |
| Kyler VanderJagt * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +10.6 |
| Austin Parks * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | -4.8 |
| Chris Riddle | 19 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +6.4 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Will James Jr. | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mynor Strong | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.3 |
| London Praytor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Ode | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter