Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✗ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes -9 (81-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Rolf * | 30 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +10.5 |
| Bryson Dawkins * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +13.4 |
| Jason Nelson * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +10.5 |
| Cris Carroll * | 21 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +7.9 |
| Tyler Robinett * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.6 |
| D. King | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Imanuel Zorgvol | 27 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +15.1 |
| Cam Polak | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +5.4 |
| T. Blackshear | 15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jaiden Haynes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Owusu-Anane * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | -7.9 |
| Dusty Stromer * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -5.0 |
| Jaden Henley * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | -12.1 |
| Brian Moore Jr. * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -10.9 |
| Efe Demirel * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -20.2 |
| Caleb Shaw | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Makaih Williams | 14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Kaleb Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.5 |
* = starter