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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 6.0% 94.0% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +26.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.2% 69.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 7.6% 92.4% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Loofe 33 4-6 2-3 0-1 6 2 1 0 6 10 7 +5.0
K. Lands 32 7-10 4-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 18 11 -3.8
J. Carter 30 1-6 0-3 1-2 4 4 1 0 0 3 6 -8.0
T. Alston 30 4-5 0-0 2-3 12 1 0 3 4 10 17 +1.8
A. Oglesby 26 4-10 4-9 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 12 0 -0.7
S. Smith 23 3-9 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 7 3 +1.7
T. Green 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -11.3
M. Whitlock Jr. 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +10.3
L. Jovanovic 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.7

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Flemings 38 5-14 1-5 4-4 2 5 2 0 0 15 10 +2.2
M. Uzan 32 2-8 1-5 3-4 2 0 2 0 1 8 3 +6.9
C. Cenac Jr. 29 3-7 1-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 9 6 +7.7
J. Tugler 26 6-9 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 1 1 13 11 -3.4
E. Sharp 20 3-6 1-2 3-3 3 1 3 0 1 10 10 +1.5
R. Walker Jr. 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 +2.1
I. Harwell 17 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -2.0
M. Miller 13 4-6 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 1 0 9 8 +1.6
C. McCarty 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7
C. Lath 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.9

* = starter