Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | +23.1 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +26.7 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +9 (69-60). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Loofe * | 33 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 7 | +18.0 |
| Kamari Lands * | 32 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +6.6 |
| Torey Alston * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | +14.0 |
| Jahvin Carter * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Sean Smith * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alec Oglesby | 26 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | +9.3 |
| Tre Green | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.9 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luka Jovanovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston Flemings * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Milos Uzan * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Joseph Tugler * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -12.3 |
| Emanuel Sharp * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -4.8 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Isiah Harwell | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mercy Miller | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Chase McCarty | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cedric Lath | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
* = starter