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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Kennesaw State Owls Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Spread Result
Elo 50.5% 49.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kennesaw State Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Lue 35 6-13 0-2 8-8 4 2 1 3 4 20 13 +10.2
S. Cottle 26 3-14 1-7 5-6 1 2 1 0 2 12 0 +4.7
F. Sherman 26 4-7 1-1 2-4 15 0 1 0 2 11 18 +0.6
RJ Johnson 24 3-8 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 8 2 +1.5
K. Rickard 20 1-4 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 1 1 3 7 -4.5
T. Simpson 20 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 5 8 +0.5
A. Taylor 19 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 3 -2.2
R. Seals 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +8.7
D. Washington III 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 +1.8

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lands 35 8-18 2-7 6-8 9 1 2 1 1 24 18 -4.3
J. Carter 32 4-11 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 0 -5.6
T. Alston 27 1-5 0-0 8-12 9 1 0 6 2 10 19 -5.4
T. Green 27 2-10 1-7 3-3 2 1 1 0 1 8 1 -9.7
S. Smith 25 2-8 0-1 2-2 1 4 4 0 2 6 5 +7.9
C. Loofe 22 1-3 1-3 3-4 5 0 0 3 2 6 9 -8.5
L. Jovanovic 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 +4.3
A. Oglesby 14 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 +0.3

* = starter