Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3 (90-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | -5.5 |
| Javon Jackson * | 27 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -15.5 |
| JJ Traynor * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -15.3 |
| Layne Taylor * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -18.5 |
| Mason Miller * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.5 |
| KJ Tenner | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +12.9 |
| Brayden Shorter | 19 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Roman Domon | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +10.6 |
| Mathis Courbon | 13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +10.4 |
| Dylan Anderson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Brock Vice | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston * | 36 | 12-21 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 21 | +14.7 |
| Sean Smith * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +11.5 |
| Kamari Lands * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Tre Green * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Chris Loofe * | 15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Alec Oglesby | 27 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +5.7 |
| Jahvin Carter | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.4 |
| James Dent Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Jarred Hall | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.5 |
* = starter