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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% - ✓
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +10.0 ✓ (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% - ✓

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +32 (89-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Palmer 29 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 -7.6
Duke Brennan 29 4-6 0-0 4-8 8 3 0 1 1 12 17 -16.7
Tyler Perkins 29 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 3 1 -21.9
Bryce Lindsay 27 3-11 1-6 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 10 0 -21.2
Devin Askew 27 4-10 2-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 10 5 -10.0
Acaden Lewis 24 3-9 1-4 1-3 3 2 0 0 5 8 -1 -19.3
Matt Hodge 14 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 2 -11.4
Braden Pierce 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.6
Christian Jeffrey 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 4 4 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zuby Ejiofor 30 6-12 1-1 3-5 12 10 1 3 2 16 28 +20.6
Dillon Mitchell 28 3-3 0-0 2-4 1 2 0 1 0 8 9 +24.1
Joson Sanon 24 2-7 0-2 1-1 4 2 0 1 1 5 4 +11.4
Oziyah Sellers 24 6-8 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 14 11 -
Bryce Hopkins 23 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 +20.5
Ian Jackson 22 5-11 2-5 7-8 5 1 5 0 2 19 17 +9.4
Dylan Darling 21 3-8 1-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 7 7 +11.6
Rubén Prey 10 3-4 1-1 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 10 11 +2.9
Sadiku Ibine Ayo 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 6 -5.1
Lefteris Liotopoulos 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1.1
Handje Tamba 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Fotis Konstantinidis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter