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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 (29.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% -
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +32 (72-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell 37 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
O. Sellers 33 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 1 1 4 3 -
B. Hopkins 29 3-14 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 8 -2 -
Z. Ejiofor 23 2-5 1-1 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 6 7 -
J. Sanon 18 3-10 2-5 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 10 0 -
R. Prey 17 1-3 0-1 5-6 2 2 0 1 0 7 9 -
D. Darling 15 0-5 0-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
I. Jackson 14 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -
L. Liotopoulos 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
S. Ibine Ayo 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 35 6-13 2-7 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 14 9 -
S. Ball 32 4-7 2-5 1-2 1 4 0 0 0 11 9 -
T. Reed Jr. 30 9-14 0-0 2-2 11 3 2 6 2 20 26 -
S. Demary Jr. 28 2-5 0-1 3-4 8 5 1 0 1 7 15 -
B. Mullins 27 3-9 3-8 0-0 3 3 1 2 0 9 9 -
J. Ross 17 2-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
M. Smith 14 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 2 2 0 0 3 7 -
E. Reibe 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Millender 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Koroma 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
U. Paunovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Furphy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter