Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Karaban | 34 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +6.8 |
| S. Ball | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +10.3 |
| S. Demary Jr. | 29 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -1 | +7.9 |
| B. Mullins | 25 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4.0 |
| T. Reed Jr. | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +9.4 |
| J. Ross | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +8.7 |
| E. Reibe | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +1.6 |
| J. Stewart | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +2.6 |
| M. Smith | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.6 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hodge | 34 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -6.4 |
| T. Perkins | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -8.0 |
| D. Brennan | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -3.4 |
| A. Lewis | 25 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -5.8 |
| B. Lindsay | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -4.3 |
| M. Palmer | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.3 |
| D. Askew | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -7 | -5.4 |
| C. Jeffrey | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Pierce | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.7 |
* = starter