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2026-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 72.6% 27.4% -
Bradley-Terry 77.6% 22.4% -
Margin 75.4% 24.6% -6.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% -
Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% -
Log Adjusted 80.1% 19.9% -
Points Off/Def 61.0% 39.0% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers -3 (89-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lewis 37 9-18 0-4 3-6 7 6 4 0 1 21 19 -
T. Perkins 36 6-15 1-6 4-5 3 0 2 1 0 17 8 -
M. Hodge 36 3-7 2-6 2-3 6 1 0 1 0 10 11 -
D. Brennan 35 3-7 0-0 4-6 13 6 1 0 3 10 20 -
B. Lindsay 25 5-11 4-8 1-2 0 2 1 0 0 15 7 -
M. Palmer 24 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 6 7 -
D. Askew 15 3-10 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 3 -
B. Pierce 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 4 8 -
C. Jeffrey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 0 4 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 41 5-15 0-3 5-5 5 7 1 0 3 15 10 -
T. Carroll 39 11-14 3-5 3-4 10 3 0 2 6 28 23 -
J. Milicevic 39 8-16 4-7 0-0 9 5 1 3 4 20 18 -
F. Borovicanin 32 0-6 0-2 3-4 3 6 1 0 1 3 6 -
R. Anderson III 24 2-5 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 5 10 -
A. Wright 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
I. Walker 20 4-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
A. Robinson 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 4 5 -

* = starter