Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Parham | 37 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 29 | - |
| A. Stevens | 34 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| N. James Jr. | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Ross | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Gold | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Owens | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Norman | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Phillips II | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hamilton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Perkins | 34 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| D. Brennan | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| A. Lewis | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Lindsay | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Hodge | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Palmer | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Askew | 15 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Pierce | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Jeffrey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter