Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royce Parham | 37 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 29 | +9.7 |
| Adrien Stevens | 34 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | -6.6 |
| Nigel James Jr. | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Chase Ross | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Ben Gold | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +10.9 |
| Damarius Owens | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +6.9 |
| Tre Norman | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Michael Phillips II | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Caedin Hamilton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Josh Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Perkins | 34 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | -2.1 |
| Duke Brennan | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | +9.2 |
| Acaden Lewis | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Matt Hodge | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Malachi Palmer | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Devin Askew | 15 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Braden Pierce | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Christian Jeffrey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5.8 |
* = starter