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2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Georgetown Hoyas Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“

Actual: Georgetown Hoyas -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Acaden Lewis 34 11-15 3-5 1-4 3 6 3 0 1 26 22 +6.9
Tyler Perkins 34 5-12 3-7 2-6 8 2 2 0 0 15 15 +11.8
Duke Brennan 33 3-5 0-0 7-10 13 3 1 0 2 13 23 +11.7
Devin Askew 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 3 0 +8.1
Malachi Palmer 22 3-6 2-5 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 10 6 +13.7
Matt Hodge 21 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -7.2
Bryce Lindsay 20 0-8 0-6 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 0 -4 -6.9
Braden Pierce 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 4 -1.4
Christian Jeffrey 6 1-2 0-1 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -2.4

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Mack 31 7-15 3-9 4-5 3 3 0 0 3 21 9 +5.4
Caleb Williams 31 1-7 1-5 2-4 5 2 2 0 1 5 6 -8.1
Isaiah Abraham 30 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 +3.1
KJ Lewis 30 4-14 1-6 4-4 5 1 2 0 4 13 3 -8.6
Vincent Iwuchukwu 28 5-7 0-0 5-7 12 2 0 0 1 15 21 +1.1
Kayvaun Mulready 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 -8.6
Jeremiah Williams 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 4 0 -3.2
Julius Halaifonua 12 1-3 0-0 3-3 5 2 1 0 2 5 8 -3.4
Jayden Fort 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 +3.1

* = starter