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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Duke Brennan 40 4-6 0-0 8-9 14 0 0 1 1 16 24 +10.2
Bryce Lindsay 40 0-8 0-6 3-5 1 2 2 0 2 3 -2 -1.8
Tyler Perkins 39 6-16 2-5 2-4 10 2 0 0 0 16 12 -1.5
Matt Hodge 30 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 12 9 -0.6
Devin Askew 27 4-9 3-4 2-2 4 3 1 1 2 13 11 -0.2
Acaden Lewis 27 1-13 0-4 2-2 2 5 1 0 2 4 -3 -1.3
Malachi Palmer 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -6.5
Braden Pierce 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -8.8

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Karaban 40 4-10 1-3 8-9 8 0 0 0 1 17 14 +14.7
Silas Demary Jr. 39 4-11 0-1 2-2 4 7 3 0 1 10 12 +7.0
Solo Ball 38 7-17 5-12 5-5 5 3 0 0 0 24 15 +5.4
Tarris Reed Jr. 31 4-7 0-0 2-3 11 4 1 0 4 10 15 -0.6
Jaylin Stewart 20 1-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.9
J. Ross 19 0-1 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 0 2 +2.9
Braylon Mullins 18 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 8 2 -2.8
Eric Reibe 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 6 -4.1
Malachi Smith 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.2

* = starter