Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brennan | 40 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | +10.2 |
| B. Lindsay | 40 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -1.8 |
| T. Perkins | 39 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -1.5 |
| M. Hodge | 30 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -0.6 |
| D. Askew | 27 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -0.2 |
| A. Lewis | 27 | 1-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -1.3 |
| M. Palmer | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6.5 |
| B. Pierce | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.8 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Karaban | 40 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +14.7 |
| S. Demary Jr. | 39 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +7.0 |
| S. Ball | 38 | 7-17 | 5-12 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | +5.4 |
| T. Reed Jr. | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -0.6 |
| J. Stewart | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| J. Ross | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.9 |
| B. Mullins | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| E. Reibe | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4.1 |
| M. Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
* = starter