Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 40 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | +10.4 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 40 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -4.7 |
| Tyler Perkins | 39 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Matt Hodge | 30 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +5.4 |
| Devin Askew | 27 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Acaden Lewis | 27 | 1-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -1.8 |
| Malachi Palmer | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Braden Pierce | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban | 40 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +12.7 |
| Silas Demary Jr. | 39 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +13.9 |
| Solo Ball | 38 | 7-17 | 5-12 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | +9.3 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -2.3 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Jayden Ross | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Braylon Mullins | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Eric Reibe | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Malachi Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.0 |
* = starter