Model Predictions
| Model | Georgetown Hoyas | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | 33 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Malik Mack | 28 | 1-14 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | +9.1 |
| Isaiah Abraham | 26 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -14.6 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | 24 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -3.1 |
| KJ Lewis | 22 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Vincent Iwuchukwu | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Julius Halaifonua | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -12.1 |
| Jayden Fort | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Jeremiah Williams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -4 | -15.9 |
| Langston Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | +17.0 |
| Acaden Lewis | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Tyler Perkins | 30 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +9.7 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 30 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Matt Hodge | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +4.9 |
| Malachi Palmer | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +9.1 |
| Devin Askew | 21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Braden Pierce | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
* = starter