Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Providence Friars -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acaden Lewis | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Tyler Perkins | 31 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Duke Brennan | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | -1.9 |
| Devin Askew | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +2.7 |
| Matt Hodge | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 24 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Malachi Palmer | 24 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Braden Pierce | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks | 37 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | -4.1 |
| Jaylin Sellers | 35 | 9-18 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Jamier Jones | 31 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 12 | +11.1 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Duncan Powell | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Ryan Mela | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Cole Hargrove | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter