Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lewis | 36 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | -2.1 |
| M. Hodge | 35 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +4.0 |
| B. Lindsay | 32 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | +8.4 |
| D. Brennan | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +15.7 |
| T. Perkins | 27 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2.6 |
| D. Askew | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -6.6 |
| M. Palmer | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.4 |
| B. Pierce | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Parham | 37 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +0.1 |
| N. James Jr. | 37 | 11-14 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 25 | -5.4 |
| C. Ross | 36 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -3.1 |
| A. Stevens | 31 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.5 |
| T. Norman | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +1.7 |
| B. Gold | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -5.9 |
| M. Phillips II | 12 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.1 |
| C. Hamilton | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -9.0 |
| D. Owens | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +5.1 |
| J. Clark | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
* = starter