Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Hodge | 36 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Acaden Lewis | 36 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +1.2 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 30 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Duke Brennan | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | -2.6 |
| Tyler Perkins | 29 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | -2.8 |
| Devin Askew | 23 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Malachi Palmer | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Braden Pierce | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ajayi | 35 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Finley Bizjack | 31 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Yohan Traore | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Drayton Jones | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Evan Haywood | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Yame Butler | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1.0 |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor | 12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | +3.9 |
| Jackson Keith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter