Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Vermont Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vermont Catamounts +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shoats | 40 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -2 | -6.3 |
| G. Doty | 34 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -6.3 |
| B. Coyle | 32 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -6.3 |
| C. Jones | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| F. Folefac | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3.0 |
| A. Chandler | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9.0 |
| T. Goodrick | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -3.1 |
| R. Mulvey | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.1 |
| I. Henderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +5.2 |
| TJ Long | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +8.2 |
| N. Barnett | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 16 | +8.2 |
| S. Blake | 26 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +8.4 |
| G. Yalden | 24 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | +9.4 |
| B. Johnson | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -1.9 |
| L. Mari | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2.9 |
| D. Simon | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.1 |
| M. Nkugwa | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.9 |
| B. Michaels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| J. Skipper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter