Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles -4 (55-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +2.4 |
| J. Shoats * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 4 | +2.4 |
| F. Folefac * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2.6 |
| A. Chandler * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +4.7 |
| B. Coyle * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.6 |
| C. Jones | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| O. Schlager | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1.2 |
| M. Jackson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2.2 |
| T. Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mayock * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -2.5 |
| J. Iturbe * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -4.6 |
| G. Sprouse * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.5 |
| G. Jones * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | -3.7 |
| W. Nausadis * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -4.7 |
| K. Sebastian | 26 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | -0.8 |
| M. Collins | 21 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | +3.3 |
| C. Eagan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +2.1 |
| D. Hogans | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter