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2025-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Siena Saints Spread Result
Elo 12.0% 88.0% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Log Adjusted 30.7% 69.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Siena Saints -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox * 38 7-15 2-5 6-7 3 1 4 1 3 22 13 -6.5
A. Alekseyenko * 32 7-12 1-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 3 17 11 -13.1
S. Wright * 24 6-9 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 13 6 -4.9
B. Cummins * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -10.3
B. Tweedy * 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -8.4
J. Ahayere 24 2-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 1 1 7 9 +1.8
K. Carlesimo 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 2 6 +3.7
A. Odetoyinbo 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 5 0 5 12 -1.7
C. Wright 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +6.2

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Coyle * 36 2-11 1-8 1-2 7 2 2 0 0 6 6 +6.7
G. Doty * 36 6-14 0-4 2-2 5 3 0 1 0 14 9 +6.5
J. Shoats * 33 2-7 0-0 2-2 2 6 2 0 2 6 7 +6.5
T. Goodrick * 29 4-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 2 8 6 +13.1
A. Chandler * 23 2-6 1-1 6-6 7 0 0 0 2 11 10 -0.8
F. Folefac 17 6-7 0-0 4-4 1 0 2 0 0 16 12 +1.6
C. Jones 16 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
I. Henderson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
O. Schlager 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter